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NZ Fuel Reserves Countdown

Calculated:0s ago
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Driven by Diesel — 28.80 days total supply (16.94d in-country + 11.86d confirmed vessels)

NZ Government Debt

Live
$289,289,000,000
Per household: $139,618
Per second: +$936.52/s
Per hour: +$3,371,461 · Per day: +$80,915,068
Source DebtClock.nz
More data available at FiscalReality.nz →

NZ Fuel Reserves

Calculated:0s ago

Estimated current reserves · MBIE data as at 11:59pm Sunday 26 July, 2026

Lowest reserve: Diesel at 28.80 days total (16.94d in-country + 11.86d confirmed vessels)

Diesel— Most Critical

In-CountryConfirmed vesselsLikely / ScheduledMSO
In-Country (Est.)
16.94d
181.26 ML
Total (incl. confirmed)
28.80d
308.16 ML
MSO threshold: 21d
Daily use: 10.70 ML
Confirmed vessels: 127.00 ML (11.86d)
Likely + Scheduled: 1.40d

Petrol

In-CountryConfirmed vesselsLikely / ScheduledMSO
In-Country (Est.)
18.64d
150.98 ML
Total (incl. confirmed)
29.81d
241.46 ML
MSO threshold: 28d
Daily use: 8.10 ML
Confirmed vessels: 90.50 ML (11.17d)
Likely + Scheduled: 1.85d

Jet Fuel

In-CountryConfirmed vesselsLikely / ScheduledMSO
In-Country (Est.)
19.54d
93.79 ML
Total (incl. confirmed)
36.22d
173.86 ML
MSO threshold: 24d
Daily use: 4.80 ML
Confirmed vessels: 80.00 ML (16.68d)
Likely + Scheduled: 3.13d

MBIE vs Actual Reserves

Calculated:0s ago

Compares the government's published MBIE reserve totals against confirmed reality: depleted on-land stock + AIS-confirmed vessel cargo. MBIE data as at 11:59pm Sunday 26 July, 2026.

⚠️

~12.0 days of unverified supply across all fuels. The government claims ~ 42.7d total but only ~ 30.7d can be confirmed via AIS tracking.

FuelOn LandConfirmedActual TotalMBIE Claimed TotalDifference
Petrol18.64d11.17d29.81d39.44d9.63d
Diesel16.94d11.86d28.80d45.54d16.74d
Jet Fuel19.54d16.68d36.22d41.74d5.52d
All Fuels18.1d(wtd)12.6d(wtd)30.7d(wtd)42.7d(wtd)12.0d
Petrol
In-Country: 18.64dConfirmed: 11.17dGap: 9.63d
Govt claim: 39.4d9.6d unverified (24%)
Diesel
In-Country: 16.94dConfirmed: 11.86dGap: 16.74d
Govt claim: 45.5d16.7d unverified (37%)
Jet Fuel
In-Country: 19.54dConfirmed: 16.68dGap: 5.52d
Govt claim: 41.7d5.5d unverified (13%)
In-Country Confirmed vessels Unverified gapTotal bar width = Govt's claimed total
Consumed since MBIE published:
Petrol: −11.16dDiesel: −11.16dJet Fuel: −11.16d
What's the gap? MBIE publishes a “total” that includes allvessels they believe are NZ-bound, including ships that haven't been confirmed by AIS tracking and are only likely or scheduled. Our “confirmed” figure only counts depleted on-land stock plus vessels we can verify via AIS (confirmed en-route or docked at berth having not docked since the most recent MBIE figures were released). The gap represents unverified supply that may or may not materialise depending on external factors.

Daily Consumption

Calculated:0s ago

Average daily demand (MBIE 12-month rolling): total 23.60 ML/day across all fuel types.

⛽Petrol
8.10 ML/day
92.4% of today consumed
7.49
ML today
0.34
ML/hr
5.6K
L/min
94
L/sec
🛢️Diesel
10.70 ML/day
92.4% of today consumed
9.89
ML today
0.45
ML/hr
7.4K
L/min
124
L/sec
✈️Jet Fuel
4.80 ML/day
92.4% of today consumed
4.44
ML today
0.20
ML/hr
3.3K
L/min
56
L/sec
Total All Fuels23.60 ML/day
0.98 ML/hr · 273 litres/second · 8.6 billion litres/year
Methodology: Average daily demand for the 12 months ending 4 months before the reporting period begins. Source: MBIE

Oil & FX

Fuel Prices

Vessel Pipeline

Supply Projections

Model:0s ago
MBIE published in-country history → today (incl. confirmed vessels)No Intervention (Baseline)Voluntary Conservation (10%)Government Rationing (25%)Emergency Lockdown (40%)
No Intervention (Baseline)
28.80days
Depletes ~4 Sept
Voluntary Conservation (10%)
32.00days
Depletes ~7 Sept
Government Rationing (25%)
38.40days
Depletes ~13 Sept
Emergency Lockdown (40%)
48.00days
Depletes ~23 Sept

NZ Government Bonds

Scenario Projections

Calculated:0s ago

Business as Usual

0.3x disruption

Normal supply chain operations with minor regional tensions.

petrol: 18.80d
diesel: 14.11d
jet: 16.34d
Critical: 20 Aug 2026

Prolonged Disruption

0.85x disruption

Extended Strait of Hormuz disruption. Partial rerouting via Cape of Good Hope.

petrol: 13.21d
diesel: 9.91d
jet: 11.48d
Critical: 16 Aug 2026

Full Crisis

1x disruption

Complete Hormuz closure. All Middle East supply cut off.

petrol: 12.22d
diesel: 9.17d
jet: 10.62d
Critical: 15 Aug 2026

SK Export Ban

1.48x disruption

South Korea halts refined product exports. NZ loses primary refining source.

petrol: 9.85d
diesel: 7.40d
jet: 8.56d
Critical: 13 Aug 2026

Government Response Options

Speed limit reduction (90 km/h)Mandatory 90 km/h open road limit saves ~5% petrol/diesel
+2.50 days
Odd/even rationingAlternate-day driving based on plate number
+5.00 days
Essential travel onlyLockdown-style movement restrictions for non-essential travel
+12.00 days
Airline flight reductions50% domestic flight frequency reduction
+8.00 days
Strategic reserve releaseRelease government strategic reserves (~7 days additional)
+7.00 days

AI Risk Assessment

Fuel News

Taxpayers' Union Media Releases

About the Fuel Clock

The Fuel Clock is an initiative of the Taxpayers' Union, built to provide independent, real-time insight into New Zealand's fuel security.

Official fuel data is often delayed and incomplete. By combining Government stock figures with live shipping and market data, the Fuel Clock gives a clearer, up-to-date picture of risk so Kiwis aren't left in the dark.

This isn't about alarmism. It's about transparency, and making sure the public has access to the information that matters.

Site built for the Taxpayers' Union by RB Alliance Ltd.

Data Sources

  • MBIE — Petroleum stock levels
  • Gaspy — Live fuel prices
  • DebtClock.nz — Government debt
  • AIS - Vessel information
  • Yahoo Finance - Bond Prices
  • Reserve Bank of New Zealand — Bond yields
  • Polymarket — Geopolitical risk

About

  • Why the Taxpayers’ Union created this site
  • Methodology
  • Neon-backed persistence with full audit trail
  • Open methodology — all sources cited

© 2026 New Zealand Taxpayers' Union Ltd. All data is indicative only and should not be used for trading decisions.